Workload forecaster
Made-up dataFriday's pile is in: 191 pieces of work. Set the weekend, pick an idea of how much it will clear, and the forecast gives Monday as a band with the rule that would prove it wrong. Then reveal Monday.
The sliders and Reveal Monday need JavaScript. The forecast, the chart, the table and the scorecard below read without it.
This weekend
With JavaScript off, the forecast below is for 4 graders, 25 pieces of work and the fixed amount idea.
Band for Monday147 to 162
- Assumption
- With 4 graders, the weekend clears about 54 to 69 pieces of work, however big the pile is.
- What would prove it wrong
- Wrong if Monday is below 147 or above 162. Below would mean a bigger pile got more done than the usual amount. Above would mean less got done than usual.
Monday is hidden. Set the weekend, then reveal it.
Every weekend so far
Chart of 5 past weekends and this one. Each shows the Friday pile, the band forecast for Monday and the Monday reading. 3 of 5 past Mondays landed inside their band. The table has the same numbers.
| Weekend | Idea | Friday pile | Graders | New work | Band for Monday | Monday | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weekend 1 | Fixed amount | 146 | 4 | 28 | 112 to 127 | 121 | Hit |
| Weekend 2 | Fixed amount | 241 | 4 | 26 | 206 to 222 | 200 | Miss, below by 6 |
| Weekend 3 | Fixed share | 144 | 5 | 26 | 103 to 120 | 105 | Hit |
| Weekend 4 | Fixed share | 131 | 4 | 25 | 108 to 119 | 108 | Hit |
| Weekend 5 | Fixed share | 276 | 4 | 26 | 197 to 221 | 227 | Miss, above by 6 |
| This weekend | Fixed amount | 191 | 4 | 25 | 147 to 162 | Not revealed | Not scored |
Scorecard of past weekends
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Weekend 1
Fixed amountHit
Band 112 to 127. Monday came in at 121. Inside the band.
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Weekend 2
Fixed amountMiss, below by 6
Band 206 to 222. Monday came in at 200. This came after the biggest Friday pile so far. With more waiting, the team got more done than its usual amount. Its rule said in advance what a miss this way would mean.
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Weekend 3
Fixed shareHit
Band 103 to 120. Monday came in at 105. Inside the band.
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Weekend 4
Fixed shareHit
Band 108 to 119. Monday came in at 108. On the edge of the band, which counts as inside.
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Weekend 5
Fixed shareMiss, above by 6
Band 197 to 221. Monday came in at 227. This came after the biggest Friday pile so far. The team did not speed up to match the bigger pile, so it cleared a smaller share. Its rule said in advance what a miss this way would mean.